Democratic
Rob Menendez
Incumbent representative for NJ-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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New Jersey District 8 election, 2026
Rob Menendez vs. Republican nominee TBD. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Rob Menendez favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+24.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+24.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Craig Honts · Socialist Workers
- Aristotle Eliopoulos · Independent
- Da'Shone Hughey · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Rob MenendezDEM$2.2M raised
Spent $1.8MCash on hand $722k1% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Legal & Professional Services$153k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$147k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$83k
- Retired$60k
- Unemployed$57k
States
- NJ$531k
- NY$272k
- DC$80k
- CA$74k
- MD$65k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Corruption Rises to Top of Voter Concerns
New York Times: “Allegations of corruption in Washington are nothing new in political campaigns. They are usually shrugged off by voters who figure all politicians are equally guilty, whether they be Democrats such as former Senator Bob Menendez of New Jersey…
Politicalwire.com · October 31, 2026
Congress Wants to Unplug the Scam Call Factory
A pair of representatives last week unveiled legislation targeting one piece of the increasingly industrialized fraud economy. Reps. Jefferson Shreve of Indiana and Rob Menendez of New Jersey introduced the Stop SIM Box Scams Act, which would ban manufacturin…
pymnts.com · October 7, 2026
Rep. LaMonica McIver Welcomes New Bundle of Joy Amidst Legal Fight With Trump’s Justice Department
Rep. LaMonica McIver has been engaged in an ongoing legal battle with President Donald Trump’s Justice Department for more than a year. But today, the New Jersey congresswoman has a big reason to smile as she celebrates the birth of her second child. As we…
The Root · October 1, 2026
Dems Want to Regulate AI. But Will AI Money Divide Them?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems want to regulate AI. But will AI money divide them?Democrats are loudly deman…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗