Democratic
Rebecca Bennett
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Thomas Kean Jr. favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+2.7
65%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+0.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Thomas Kean Jr.
Incumbent representative for NJ-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Lana Leguía · Libertarian
- Seamus O'Toole · Independent
Polls
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMargin
Z to A Research2026-05-26D+4.0
Shown for context. The forecast above is fundamentals-only and does not use these polls: tested against 2016–2024, a poll-driven rule beat fundamentals only because of a single wave cycle and reversed without it. See methodology.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in New Jersey's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
NJ Rep. Kean acquired more data center stocks as backlash to AI boom grows
New Jersey Rep. Tom Kean Jr. Kean said he had no involvement in his stock buying decisions. His public disclosures show he procured shares in two data center companies. [ more › ]
Gothamist · September 15, 2026
VA Benefits: Trump Official Touts 'Major' Changes for Veterans
Veterans Affairs Secretary Doug Collins spoke about "major improvements" at the department during a roundtable last week hosted by Republican Representative Tom Kean Jr. in New Jersey. Collins said that the reforms implemented under President Donald Trump's a…
Biztoc.com · September 3, 2026
GOP lawmaker who vanished for months dogpiled after attacking Dem for staying ‘hidden’
Rep. Tom Kean (R-NJ) drew a flood of mockery after launching a "laughable" attack on his Democratic opponent Saturday, one critics quickly noted was dripping with irony.“I do the most local press engagements of any NJ Member of Congress,” Kean wrote Saturday …
Raw Story · August 22, 2026
NJ Rep. Kean profited from AI stocks as data center backlash grew
New Jersey Rep. Tom Kean Jr. A review of the congressmember’s recent public disclosures show he reaped financial gains from three companies at the center of the AI data center boom. [ more › ]
Gothamist · July 29, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗