Democratic
Nellie Pou
Incumbent representative for NJ-9. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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New Jersey District 9 election, 2026
Nellie Pou vs. Rosie Pino. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Nellie Pou favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+8.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+1.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±3.7 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Rosie Pino
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Terrisa Bukovinac · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NJ-9. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Nellie PouDEM · incumbent$3.1M raised
Spent $2.2MCash on hand $1.1M8% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$378k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$162k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$94k
- Legal & Professional Services$57k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$54k
States
- NJ$452k
- CA$224k
- NY$200k
- MA$102k
- DC$100k
Rosie PinoREP$548k raised
Spent $535kCash on hand $13kDebts $159k53% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$78k
- Not Reported$15k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$15k
- Technology & Communications$521
- Legal & Professional Services$250
States
- NJ$100k
- FL$12k
- TX$10k
- PA$9k
- IL$9k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NJ-9; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Rep. Nellie Pou once opposed legislation to create an internet sex offender registry, stonewalled tougher penalties on predators
Rep. Nellie Pou once opposed legislation to create an internet sex offender registry and repeatedly stymied a New Jersey state effort to slap tougher penalties on predators.
New York Post · July 31, 2026
Not Just California: Where Vote Counts Drag On Beyond Election Day and Why SCOTUS Could End It
California is not the only state with trouble counting votes on time. On Friday, New Jersey finished counting in the state’s 9th Congressional District Republican primary, and Clifton City Councilwoman Rosie Pino defeated Tiffany Burress to advance to a Novem…
Daily Signal · June 12, 2026
Rosie Pino wins GOP primary in New Jersey’s 9th District to challenge Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou
Rosie Pino, a Clifton City, New Jersey, councilwoman, has won the Republican primary in the state’s 9th Congressional District to take on Democratic Rep. Nel...
Yahoo Entertainment · June 12, 2026
ICE Says They Will Play “Key Part of Overall Security Apparatus” of World Cup
Hey, we’re hosting the World Cup, and not far from the immigrant rich Chinatown-International District. And since this is the “World” Cup, tens of thousands of people from around the world will be here. That's a problem! by Vivian McCall While defen…
TheStranger.com · February 10, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗