Democratic
Melanie Stansbury
Incumbent representative for NM-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Melanie Stansbury favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+20.2
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+13.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Didi Okpareke
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NM-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NM-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
‘Fake historian’ exposed as mastermind behind Trump’s Smithsonian obsession: report
President Donald Trump's moves to discredit the Smithsonian Museum of American History are being driven by a notorious Christian nationalist "fake historian," according to a new report. According to Judd Legum's Popular Information, Trump's "Restoring Trust i…
Raw Story · July 29, 2026
Rep. Stansbury urges Congress to ‘STEP IN AT THIS MOMENT’ of escalation in the Iran war
Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D-NM), member of the House Oversight Committee, joins Alex Witt to discuss the two U.S. service ...
Biztoc.com · July 18, 2026
Stansbury cries gerrymandering again after Dems carved up NM (No Pub congressional representative since 2020)
U.S. Rep. Melanie Stansbury is doubling down on her gerrymandering fundraising pitch, again accusing Republicans of trying to “deny representation” while ignoring the political reality right here in New Mexico: Democrats used total control of Santa Fe to redr…
Freerepublic.com · June 17, 2026
Acting AG Todd Blanche To Testify About Epstein To Oversight Committee
Rep. Melanie Stansbury of New Mexico spoke to reporters on Wednesday following sitting in on a closed-door Oversight Committee deposition of Bill Gates. Gates was called before Congress to testify about his ties to sex criminal Jeffrey Epstein in the ongoing …
Crooksandliars.com · June 12, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗