VotePredictor
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New York District 16 election, 2026

George Latimer vs. Joseph Cinquemani.

VotePredictor forecast
George Latimer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+48.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+36.0
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Joseph Cinquemani

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-16. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

First Responders Children's Foundation Presents Inaugural United for First Responder Families Award to Senator Jim Justice and Congressman George Latimer

Congressional leaders recognized for their support of the children of first responders at Capitol Hill reception PHOTOS: HERE Credit: First Responders Children's Foundation NEW YORK, Sept. 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Last night, First Responders Children's Found…

PRNewswire · September 16, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel

On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…

The New Republic · September 3, 2026
Trump’s Revenge List Includes These Politicians, Leaders

President Donald Trump made over 100 threats to his adversaries during the 2024 campaign. Now that he’s back in office, many fear he will actually follow through with prosecuting his enemies big time. We’re just over a year into his second term, and Trump’s f…

The Root · May 11, 2026
Autopsy Results: Why the Democrats Lost in 2024—And How to Start Winning Again

Why and how did Kamala Harris lose the 2024 presidential race? How can Democrats learn from this preventable loss and turn the tide in 2026 and beyond? Even as this November’s election saw numerous hopeful Democratic victories—most notably the remarkable wins…

Common Dreams · December 12, 2025

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: NY-15 · NY-17