Democratic
George Latimer
Incumbent representative for NY-16. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
George Latimer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+43.5
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+36.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Joseph Cinquemani
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-16. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
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Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗