Democratic
Patrick Halpin
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Andrew Garbarino favored
Lean R · predicted margin R+2.7
65%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+11.02026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Andrew Garbarino
Incumbent representative for NY-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-2. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Lawmakers Probe Growing Use of Chinese AI Models In US Companies
U.S. lawmakers are probing the growing use of Chinese AI models by American companies, citing concerns over censorship, security risks, and whether U.S. firms are turning to cheaper foreign models because domestic alternatives are too costly or restricted. Th…
Slashdot.org · July 9, 2026
Meta faces calls for Congress to probe scam ads targeting seniors
Retirement groups are calling on Congress to investigate Meta over a wave of social media scams targeting older Americans. In a letter sent Thursday to House Homeland Security Committee Chair Andrew Garbarino (R-N.Y.) and ranking member Bennie Thompson (D-Mi…
Biztoc.com · June 18, 2026
GOP snubs ICE shooting victims as they beg Congress to rein in agents: 'Been through hell'
WASHINGTON — Nearly all Republicans on the House Homeland Security Committee failed to show up for a Wednesday hearing convened by Democrats to highlight President Donald Trump’s aggressive tactics in his mass deportation campaign that have ensnared U.S. citi…
Raw Story · April 22, 2026
Moderate Republican willing to break with party is set to lead ICE hearing (Kadia Goba/Washington Post)
Kadia Goba / Washington Post: Moderate Republican willing to break with party is set to lead ICE hearing — Rep. Andrew Garbarino (R-New York) faces the challenge of leading the questioning of top immigration officials at the peril of angering the White Hous…
Memeorandum.com · February 8, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗