Democratic
Josh Riley
Incumbent representative for NY-19. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Josh Riley favored
Likely D · predicted margin D+9.7
92%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+2.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Peter Oberacker
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for NY-19. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for NY-19; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
‘We’re Going to Come After You’: Casar Puts Corporate Interests on Notice With Affordability Agenda
The leader of the Congressional Progressive Caucus sent a message on Wednesday to corporations that are hiking prices on American consumers at the gas pump, the grocery store, the medicine counter, and elsewhere: "We're going to come after you."In an intervie…
Common Dreams · April 29, 2026
Representative Josh Riley Honored as 2026 Congressional Champion of the Year by the Vinyl Institute
Washington D.C., April 22, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- The Vinyl Institute (VI), a U.S. trade association representing the leading manufacturers of vinyl, presented Representative Josh Riley (NY-19) with the Vinyl Institute’s 2026 Congressional Champion of the Y…
GlobeNewswire · April 22, 2026
Democrat Rep Josh Riley blasted as 'hypocrite' over ties to energy firm he criticizes on campaign trail
A competitive House race in upstate New York heats up as Republican Peter Oberacker attacks Democrat Josh Riley over his ties to a utility company.
Fox News · March 13, 2026
Democrats Who Voted Against Shutdown Deal Took Victory Lap For The Millions Of Dollars It Gave Their Districts
Democratic lawmakers claimed credit for millions of dollars allocated to their constituencies, despite opposing the shutdown-ending funding package which included them. On Nov. 13, New York Rep. Josh Riley joined 207 of his Democrats colleagues in voting agai…
The Daily Caller · November 25, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗