VotePredictor
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Ohio District 11 election, 2026

Shontel Brown vs. Mike Kirchner on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Shontel Brown favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+68.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+55.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Mike Kirchner

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-11. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-11; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

GOP lawmaker caves after backlash to horrifying allegations reaches fever pitch

Rep. Max Miller (R-OH) dropped a domestic violence case against his ex-wife amid growing backlash over allegations he scalded her with hot water and held a gun to her head.A Cuyahoga County judge formally dismissed the case Wednesday against Emily Moreno, dau…

Raw Story · July 30, 2026
'Hard to top this level of dystopia': Trump admin ripped for plan buried in Obamacare rule

After the Republican Party’s decision to terminate subsidies that had significantly reduced healthcare costs under the Affordable Care Act for 22 million people, the White House is considering a new way to—officials claim—“help” Americans who face massive med…

Raw Story · June 12, 2026
The FBI Just Raided a Pro-Democracy Group in an Act of “Intimidation”

The FBI raided the offices of an Ohio pro-democracy organization in Cleveland Thursday and questioned employees across the state, asking questions about voter fraud.The Ohio Organizing Collaborative, which promotes voter registration and voting rights, was ta…

The New Republic · June 12, 2026
'Straight-Up Intimidation Tactics': Kash Patel's FBI Raids Ohio Voting Rights Organization

A voting rights organization in Ohio is accusing the federal government of waging a large-scale intimidation campaign after the group was raided by the FBI on Thursday.MS NOW reported on late Thursday that FBI agents searched the Cleveland offices of the Ohio…

Common Dreams · June 12, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: OH-10 · OH-12