VotePredictor
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Ohio District 10 election, 2026

Kristina Knickerbocker vs. Mike Turner on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Mike Turner favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+14.6
98%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+7.9
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Kristina Knickerbocker

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Thomas McMasters · Libertarian

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-10. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Ohio's 10th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: OH-1 · OH-11