Democratic
Brian Poindexter
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all House races
Ohio District 7 election, 2026
Brian Poindexter vs. Max Miller on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Max Miller favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+9.0
90%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+11.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Max Miller
Incumbent representative for OH-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
The polls behind it
3 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMargin
Bedrock Polling2026-08-10D+8.0
Tavern Research2026-08-05D+8.0
Unknown (Reported by NOTUS)2026-07-30D+5.0
Shown for context. The forecast above is fundamentals-only and does not use these polls: tested against 2016–2024, a poll-driven rule beat fundamentals only because of a single wave cycle and reversed without it. See methodology.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Ohio's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
GOP shifts midterm priorities as concerns turn to defending seats in red states
Republicans are playing defense deep in their own territory as voter anger over price hikes puts more House and Senate seats in play in the midterms.New rounds of big spending, visits from Trump administration officials and private conversations among top GOP…
Yahoo Entertainment · Today
GOP lawmaker scrambles to block ad highlighting his domestic abuse allegations
Rep. Max Miller (R-OH) is threatening to sue a Cleveland TV station to block his Democratic opponent's ad about the domestic abuse allegations against him, Politico reported Monday.Miller's attorney, Alejandro Brito, who has also represented President Donald …
Raw Story · Yesterday
What All the AI Spending in This Ohio District Race Is Really About
The artificial intelligence industry is homing in on Ohio’s 7th congressional district race. Several super PACs with financial ties to Anthropic, the company behind the AI assistant Claude, have invested heavily in the House race, ramping up fundraising for b…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Republican shrugs off $450K-spend on 'sociopath' candidate: 'Gotta do what's right'
The top-ranking Republican woman in the House of Representatives brushed off concerns that her party will spend $500,000 in an effort to elect a colleague accused of violently abusing his wife and daughter. Rep. Lisa McClain (R-MI) dismissed her colleagues' c…
Raw Story · September 6, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗