Democratic
Elizabeth Kirtley
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Ohio District 6 election, 2026
Elizabeth Kirtley vs. Michael Rulli on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Michael Rulli favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+28.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+34.92026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Michael Rulli
Incumbent representative for OH-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OH-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OH-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Ohio's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Ohio Republican Assures Us That The Economy Will Be Better 'By Easter'
Ohio GOP Rep. Michael Rulli appeared on Fox's 'Mornings with Maria' show to paint a rosy picture of the economy, even though a significant portion of Americans are living paycheck to paycheck while dealing with rising grocery store prices, unaffordable housin…
Crooksandliars.com · December 30, 2025
Australia’s Response to the Bondi Beach Shooting Says Everything
Maybe the United States should try to be more like Australia. The day after a mass shooting at a Jewish gathering killed 15 people at Bondi Beach Sunday, Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese wasted no time in moving to tighten gun laws.“The consideratio…
The New Republic · December 16, 2025
Democrat policies paved way for brutal Cincinnati attack, say Ohio Republicans: 'Fear and chaos'
Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno called for Cincinnati Mayor Aftab Pureval's resignation following a viral downtown beatdown while Rep. Michael Rulli criticized left-wing policies.
Fox News · July 29, 2025
Democratic policies paved way for Cincinnati brawl, say Ohio Republicans: 'Fear and chaos'
Republican Sen. Bernie Moreno called for Cincinnati Mayor Aftab Pureval's resignation following a viral downtown brawl, while Rep. Michael Rulli criticized left-wing policies.
Fox News · July 29, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗