Democratic
Mitchell Jacob
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Tom Cole favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+23.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+32.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Tom Cole
Incumbent representative for OK-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Rocco Bonacci · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OK-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OK-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Social Security Update: Bipartisan Bill Proposed to Plan Major Changes
A new bipartisan bill introduced in the U.S. House of Representatives this week is looking to tackle one of Washington’s most pressing economic challenges—the long-term solvency of Social Security. Introduced by Representatives Tom Cole, an Oklahoma Republica…
Biztoc.com · June 12, 2026
Trump will run out of money for Iran within three months: GOP lawmaker
President Donald Trump only has the funds to keep the Iran war going for around three more months, a key Republican lawmaker said.Rep. Tom Cole (R-OK), chair of the House Appropriations Committee, "says the Pentagon will run out of money for Iran by 'probably…
Raw Story · May 20, 2026
Congressional Republicans Struggle to Do the Basics as Chambers Clash (Carl Hulse/New York Times)
Carl Hulse / New York Times: Congressional Republicans Struggle to Do the Basics as Chambers Clash — House Republicans toiled to pass major measures as lawmakers scramble to fund homeland security, extend spy powers and deliver a farm bill. — Representati…
Memeorandum.com · April 30, 2026
‘Weakest Speaker’: Mike Johnson derided on Capitol Hill after latest Trump surrender
WASHINGTON — The Department of Homeland Security remains shut down, but you wouldn’t know it from walking around the U.S. Capitol, where the Epstein files and President Donald Trump’s State of the Union address are the talk of elected officials. The silence a…
Raw Story · February 26, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗