Democratic
Jena Nelson
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Stephanie Bice favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+10.7
94%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+17.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Stephanie Bice
Incumbent representative for OK-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Robert Henri · Independent
- Austin Nieves · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OK-5. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OK-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
ESA Announces 2026 Recipients of the Interactive Entertainment Impact Awards
Representative Stephanie Bice (R-OK), Representative Jim McGovern (D-MA) and iCivics recognized as champions of the U.S. video game industry WASHINGTON, July 15, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- The Entertainment Software Association (ESA) today announced the 2026 recipi…
PRNewswire · July 15, 2026
Mullin promises to earn Dem votes as GOP colleagues pounce on his seat
Oklahoma Republicans rush to claim Sen. Markwayne Mullin's Senate seat after his nomination to run DHS, with Reps. Stephanie Bice and Kevin Hern eyeing the job.
Fox News · March 6, 2026
Stephanie Bice and Kevin Hern eye Oklahoma Senate seat if Mullin heads to DHS (Rachel Schilke/Washington Examiner)
Rachel Schilke / Washington Examiner: Stephanie Bice and Kevin Hern eye Oklahoma Senate seat if Mullin heads to DHS — Two House Republicans from Oklahoma are weighing a run for the Senate after President Donald Trump announced Sen. Markwayne Mullin (R-OK) i…
Memeorandum.com · March 5, 2026
Swing District GOPers Suddenly Find a Spine Over Trump’s Reiner Post
Republicans in key swing states are peeling away from Donald Trump amid national backlash over his remarks about Rob Reiner’s murder.Reiner was found stabbed to death in his Los Angeles home Sunday alongside his wife, producer Michele Singer Reiner. Their son…
The New Republic · December 15, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗