Democratic
Maxine Dexter
Incumbent representative for OR-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Oregon District 3 election, 2026
Maxine Dexter vs. Loran Ayles. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Maxine Dexter favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+53.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+46.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Loran Ayles
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Maxine DexterDEM · incumbent$1.3M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $189k21% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$229k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$51k
- Retired$29k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$28k
- Legal & Professional Services$25k
States
- OR$515k
- CA$52k
- WA$43k
- DC$31k
- MA$17k
Loran AylesREP— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
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This is a developing story… Please check back for updates… The shooter is dead, and "children are among the victims" of a Thursday shooting at Silver Rail Elementary in Bend, Oregon, according to a police spokesperson.After Bend Police Department spokesperson…
Common Dreams · October 15, 2026
As Trump Announces New Round of Sanctions Against Cuba, Democrats Warn Country Is Being 'Strangled to Death'
As the Trump administration announced a new round of sanctions on Cuba's tourism ministry, energy companies, and other entities on Monday, four Democratic members of Congress returned from a trip to the island and described how the oil blockade the US has imp…
Common Dreams · July 14, 2026
'The Call Came From the White House': Trump Aide Secured $620 Million Pentagon Loan for Firm Tied to Don Jr.
Three months after Donald Trump Jr.'s venture capital firm took a stake in a small North Carolina rare-earth magnet firm, a Pentagon department tasked with boosting rare-earth manufacturing for national defense purposes expedited a request for a loan worth hu…
Common Dreams · May 28, 2026
White House directly intervened to win $620M deal for company linked to Trump's son
When the Pentagon announced a $620 million loan last year to a small North Carolina startup linked to Donald Trump Jr., defense officials and the company tried to tamp down suspicions of cronyism.The president’s eldest son said through a spokesperson that he …
Raw Story · May 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗