VotePredictor
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Oregon District 3 election, 2026

Maxine Dexter vs. Loran Ayles.

VotePredictor forecast
Maxine Dexter favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+46.2
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Loran Ayles

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

As Trump Announces New Round of Sanctions Against Cuba, Democrats Warn Country Is Being 'Strangled to Death'

As the Trump administration announced a new round of sanctions on Cuba's tourism ministry, energy companies, and other entities on Monday, four Democratic members of Congress returned from a trip to the island and described how the oil blockade the US has imp…

Common Dreams · July 14, 2026
'The Call Came From the White House': Trump Aide Secured $620 Million Pentagon Loan for Firm Tied to Don Jr.

Three months after Donald Trump Jr.'s venture capital firm took a stake in a small North Carolina rare-earth magnet firm, a Pentagon department tasked with boosting rare-earth manufacturing for national defense purposes expedited a request for a loan worth hu…

Common Dreams · May 28, 2026
White House directly intervened to win $620M deal for company linked to Trump's son

When the Pentagon announced a $620 million loan last year to a small North Carolina startup linked to Donald Trump Jr., defense officials and the company tried to tamp down suspicions of cronyism.The president’s eldest son said through a spokesperson that he …

Raw Story · May 28, 2026
Economic Pain 'Just Beginning' as Key Index Shows More Inflation From Trump's Iran War

Data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics on Wednesday showed continued upward pressure on prices, caused in large part by President Donald Trump's war with Iran.The Producer Price Index (PPI), which measures wholesale prices paid by businesses, post…

Common Dreams · May 13, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: OR-2 · OR-4