Democratic
Val Hoyle
Incumbent representative for OR-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Val Hoyle favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+14.8
98%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+12.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Monique DeSpain
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Justin Filip · Pacific Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-4. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Oregon's 4th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Progressive Lawmakers Introduce Bill to 'Get Wall Street Out' of Medical Offices Across US
Thanks to legislation passed in Oregon last year, physicians in the state have stopped corporate takeovers of medical practices—and six Democratic members of Congress on Wednesday introduced a bill to replicate the state law nationwide, arguing, as Sen. Eliza…
Common Dreams · September 16, 2026
Dems Want to Regulate AI. But Will AI Money Divide Them?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems want to regulate AI. But will AI money divide them?Democrats are loudly deman…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Democrat Rep. Val Hoyle Blasts Proposed Oregon Hunting Ban as 'Insane'
U.S. Rep. Val Hoyle (D) is blasting an Oregon ballot initiative that would ban hunting and fishing as "insane," suggesting it would "[make] it a felony sex crime to artificially inseminate a cow." The post Democrat Rep. Val Hoyle Blasts Proposed Oregon Huntin…
Breitbart News · June 16, 2026
New Bill Aims to Stop GOP From Funding Trump's Iran War Through 'Backdoor Budget Process'
Legislation introduced Thursday in the US House of Representatives would preemptively outlaw congressional Republicans' emerging plan to approve funding for President Donald Trump's illegal and historically unpopular Iran war through the filibuster-proof reco…
Common Dreams · May 1, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗