Democratic
Val Hoyle
Incumbent representative for OR-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Val Hoyle favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+18.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+12.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Monique DeSpain
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Justin Filip · Pacific Green
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-4. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Democrat Rep. Val Hoyle Blasts Proposed Oregon Hunting Ban as 'Insane'
U.S. Rep. Val Hoyle (D) is blasting an Oregon ballot initiative that would ban hunting and fishing as "insane," suggesting it would "[make] it a felony sex crime to artificially inseminate a cow." The post Democrat Rep. Val Hoyle Blasts Proposed Oregon Huntin…
Breitbart News · June 16, 2026
New Bill Aims to Stop GOP From Funding Trump's Iran War Through 'Backdoor Budget Process'
Legislation introduced Thursday in the US House of Representatives would preemptively outlaw congressional Republicans' emerging plan to approve funding for President Donald Trump's illegal and historically unpopular Iran war through the filibuster-proof reco…
Common Dreams · May 1, 2026
Good Morning, News: Oregon House Republicans Delay Progress in Salem, US DOJ Hid Trump’s Presence in the Epstein Files, and in Today’s Most Shocking (Not) News, Kristi Noem Is a Liar
by Taylor Griggs The Mercury provides news and fun every single day—but your help is essential. If you believe Portland benefits from smart, local journalism and arts coverage, please consider making a small monthly contribution, because without you, t…
The Portland Mercury · February 24, 2026
Stopping the Slow Creep of ICE
Limited detention and transportation capacity have likely helped keep Oregon's immigration detention rate among the nation's lowest. But ICE may be trying to change that. by Abe Asher The beginning of 2026 has seen another surge of violence from imm…
The Portland Mercury · January 27, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗