Democratic
Chris Beck
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Oregon District 2 election, 2026
Chris Beck vs. Cliff Bentz. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Cliff Bentz favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+27.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Cliff Bentz
Incumbent representative for OR-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for OR-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Cliff BentzREP · incumbent$1.3M raised
Spent $955kCash on hand $1.4M7% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$73k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$47k
- Retired$43k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$19k
- Legal & Professional Services$16k
States
- OR$335k
- VA$30k
- DC$20k
- MD$11k
- CA$10k
Chris BeckDEM$277k raised
Spent $164kCash on hand $113kDebts $1k28% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$98k
- Retired$20k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$19k
- Legal & Professional Services$3k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$2k
States
- OR$141k
- NY$7k
- CA$4k
- AR$4k
- WA$3k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for OR-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Oregon's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Clearing The Roadless Rule: What Comes Next For America’s Burning Forests?
Republican Oregon Rep. Cliff Bentz wants to turn wildfire fuel from federal forests into an energy market as the Trump administration moves to rescind a Clinton-era “roadless rule.”
The Daily Caller · September 8, 2026
Good Morning, News: Oregon House Republicans Delay Progress in Salem, US DOJ Hid Trump’s Presence in the Epstein Files, and in Today’s Most Shocking (Not) News, Kristi Noem Is a Liar
by Taylor Griggs The Mercury provides news and fun every single day—but your help is essential. If you believe Portland benefits from smart, local journalism and arts coverage, please consider making a small monthly contribution, because without you, t…
The Portland Mercury · February 24, 2026
U.S. House votes to delist gray wolves: Bentz in support, Bynum, fellow Oregon Democrats opposed
WASHINGTON (KTVZ) -- The U.S. House voted mostly along party lines Thursday to approve a bill that would remove Endangered Species Act protections for the gray wolf, a goal of Rep. Cliff Bentz, R-Ore., who has called the animals "killing machines" that threat…
KTVZ · December 19, 2025
This House of Representative Just Bought Up To $30K In Amgen Stock
A report on July 9, 2025 shows that Representative Cliff Bentz from Oregon purchase stock in Amgen (NASDAQ:AMGN), valued between $2,002 and $30,000. According to the July filing, the transaction occurred on June 6, 2025. At the time of writing, Amgen shares a…
Biztoc.com · July 10, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗