Democratic
Ray Bilger
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Glenn Thompson favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+37.7
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+37.82026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Glenn Thompson
Incumbent representative for PA-15. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-15. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-15; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Pennsylvania's 15th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
They’ve Been Screwed Over for 160 Years. Trump Is Screwing Them More.
On the day we met in early June, Philip “P.J.” Haynie III’s gears had ground him awake just before 4:30 a.m. By the time I got into his truck, he had already spent the morning farming in his head. Rain was coming at 10 a.m.—half a day earlier than previously …
The New Republic · August 27, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: Lawmakers Sponsor Resolution Commemorating 1782 Bible
Republican Reps. Michael Cloud of Texas and Glenn Thompson of Pennsylvania are cosponsoring a House of Representatives resolution to be introduced on Friday to recognize... Read More The post EXCLUSIVE: Lawmakers Sponsor Resolution Commemorating 1782 Bible ap…
Daily Signal · August 28, 2025
Pennsylvania Congressman, Governor Spar Over Food Stamp Costs, Error Rates
By Jacob Adams, The Daily Signal | August 27, 2025 Rep. Glenn Thompson, R-Pa., is taking Democrat Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro to task over what the congressman says is the mismanagement of the Supplemental Nutrition Assistance Program, which he says wasted…
Biztoc.com · August 28, 2025
Pennsylvania Congressman, Governor Spar Over Food Stamp Costs, Error Rates
Rep. Glenn Thompson, R-Pa., is taking Democrat Pennsylvania Gov. Josh Shapiro to task over what the congressman says is the mismanagement of the Supplemental Nutrition... Read More The post Pennsylvania Congressman, Governor Spar Over Food Stamp Costs, Error …
Daily Signal · August 27, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗