Democratic
Brendan Boyle
Incumbent representative for PA-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Brendan Boyle favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+42.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+36.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Jessica Arriaga
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
John Fetterman Mistakenly Calls Himself a “Lifelong Republican”
Senator John Fetterman seemed to forget where he stands politically over the weekend.At the Texas Tribune Festival Saturday, the Pennsylvania Democrat was asked why he wouldn’t become an independent considering the stances and votes he has taken in defiance o…
The New Republic · September 28, 2026
Trump 'gleefully eviscerating' efforts to help families with 'illegal' move: Dem senator
Elected Democrats—and even the Senate’s top Republican appropriator—blasted President Donald Trump late Friday for rescinding nearly $1 billion in congressionally approved spending that the White House deemed “wasteful and harmful” through a legally contested…
Raw Story · September 27, 2026
Trump 'Gleefully Eviscerating' Efforts to Help Families With 'Illegal' Pocket Rescission
Elected Democrats—and even the Senate's top Republican appropriator—blasted President Donald Trump late Friday for rescinding nearly $1 billion in congressionally approved spending that the White House deemed "wasteful and harmful" through a legally contested…
Common Dreams · September 26, 2026
Trump slammed for 'massive' mistake that could 'push us over the edge'
President Donald Trump has received a stark warning from a ranking member of the House Budget Committee over a recent late-night social media attack. U.S. Rep. Brendan Boyle (D-PA) appeared on MS NOW Sunday morning to condemn Trump's economic policies as he t…
Raw Story · August 23, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗