Democratic
Chris Deluzio
Incumbent representative for PA-17. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Pennsylvania District 17 election, 2026
Chris Deluzio vs. Tony Guy. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Deluzio favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+16.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+6.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tony Guy
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-17. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Chris DeluzioDEM · incumbent$3.8M raised
Spent $2.9MCash on hand $1.2M30% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$885k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$236k
- Legal & Professional Services$104k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$67k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$62k
States
- PA$1.1M
- NY$213k
- CA$202k
- MA$57k
- DC$51k
Tony GuyREP$212k raised
Spent $186kCash on hand $26kDebts $18k30% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$40k
- Retired$27k
- Not Reported$16k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$8k
- Homemaker$5k
States
- PA$133k
- FL$2k
- CA$928
- NC$260
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-17; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Pennsylvania's 17th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Hegseth could face renewed impeachment push if Democrats win control of the House
Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth arrives for the ASEAN Defence Ministers' Meeting at Mactan Expo on October 28, in Cebu, Philippines. - Ezra Acayan/Getty Images Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s political future could be on the line if Democrats win the House …
CNN · October 30, 2026
Democrats are eyeing a John Fetterman challenge. Chris Deluzio is already laying the groundwork
BEAVER FALLS, Pennsylvania — At a packed town hall in a deep-red Pennsylvania county, Tod Marion stood up to ask Democratic Rep. Chris Deluzio about his plans to make Congress an institution that no longer “embarrassed” him — one that might even make him “pro…
Biztoc.com · October 22, 2026
There was little fuss about data centers in the last election. Now they could sway the midterms.
Opposition to data centers, an issue barely on anyone's radar in the 2024 election, has now united voters across the political spectrum . According to a May Gallup poll , more than 70% of Americans are opposed to AI data center construction in their local a…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 21, 2026
'Never Fails to Disappoint': Fetterman Joins GOP to Keep Trump's Iran War Going
Democratic Sen. John Fetterman of Pennsylvania was the lone Democrat on Thursday to help Republicans in the US Senate vote down a resolution to end the "illegal" war of choice launched against Iran by President Donald Trump earlier this year.In the 49-50 vote…
Common Dreams · September 25, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗