Democratic
Chris Rabb
Candidate currently listed in the 2026 field.
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Pennsylvania District 3 election, 2026
Chris Rabb vs. Republican nominee TBD. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Chris Rabb favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+84.3
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+77.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (open seat: none). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Dennis Mahoney · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for PA-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Chris RabbDEM$1.5M raised
Spent $1.4MCash on hand $91kDebts $42k24% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$298k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$123k
- Education & Academia$44k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$25k
- Legal & Professional Services$21k
States
- PA$402k
- CA$121k
- VA$115k
- IL$104k
- NY$69k
Dennis MahoneyIND$37k raised
Spent $27kCash on hand $3k0% from donors under $200Self-funded $1k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for PA-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Pennsylvania's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
No recent verified candidate stories are available in the site's news feed for this race yet.
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗