Democratic
Thurman Bartie
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 14 election, 2026
Thurman Bartie vs. Randy Weber on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Randy Weber favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+24.62026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Randy Weber
Incumbent representative for TX-14. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-14. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Randy WeberREP · incumbent$1.1M raised
Spent $824kCash on hand $929k0% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$32k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$26k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$16k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$15k
- Energy, Utilities & Mining$10k
States
- TX$166k
- NY$28k
- NJ$16k
- CA$11k
- VA$11k
Thurman BartieDEM$39k raised
Spent $39kCash on hand $5k7% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- ANNONYNOMS, ANNONYNOMS$7k
- BARRETT, GEORGE$4k
- WILLIAMS, KIRK$3k
- WILLIAMS, DONNELL$2k
- MOFFETT, LEON$2k
Industries
- Self-Employed & Freelance$8k
- Unemployed$3k
- Government$250
States
- TX$34k
- CA$1k
- GA$250
- LA$250
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-14; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
China Is Desperate to Dominate Nuclear Fusion
China has spent up to $13 billion developing fusion energy since 2023 and could commercially replicate star power to generate electricity by 2030, becoming the first nation to master what’s commonly dubbed “the holy grail of energy solutions.” Doing so would …
OilPrice.com · September 22, 2025
A GOP Rep Leveled A 'Reprehensible' Remark At AOC — And Gender Studies Experts Would Like A Word
Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-N.Y.) shut down her Republican colleague Rep. Randy Weber (Texas) in a tense moment during a committee hearing in Washington.
HuffPost · May 15, 2025
AOC's 3 a.m. comment over miscarriages sparks fiery exchange with GOP male counterparts (Ben Leonard/Politico)
Ben Leonard / Politico: AOC's 3 a.m. comment over miscarriages sparks fiery exchange with GOP male counterparts — As the House Energy and Commerce panel entered the early morning hours Wednesday of its marathon megabill markup, Texas GOP Rep. Randy Weber to…
Memeorandum.com · May 15, 2025
A House Republican told AOC not to talk to cameras. She fired back
As the House Energy and Commerce panel entered the early morning hours Wednesday of its marathon megabill markup, Texas GOP Rep. Randy Weber told Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to address members of the committee — not the camera. Around 3 a.m., the prominent…
Biztoc.com · May 14, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗