Democratic
Bobby Pulido
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 15 election, 2026
Bobby Pulido vs. Monica De La Cruz on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Monica De La Cruz favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+19.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+18.52026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Monica De La Cruz
Incumbent representative for TX-15. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-15. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-15; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Democrats Favored to Flip Texas House Seat Trump Won by 18 Points
Democrats are seeing fresh signs of life in a South Texas congressional seat that looked, on paper, like one of the harder places for the party to win back in 2026. Democrat Bobby Pulido leads Republican Representative Monica De La Cruz in a new poll of Texas…
Biztoc.com · August 4, 2026
SEE IT: Scandal-plagued Dem called police officers 'abusive a--holes' in resurfaced tweet
Deleted tweets from Bobby Pulido calling police "abusive a--holes" resurface as the Democratic candidate challenges Monica De La Cruz in Texas.
Fox News · July 8, 2026
How a Texas Nun Headed to Worship Became the Latest Face of Trump’s Immigration Crackdown
A Catholic nun walking to Sunday Mass in a religious habit became the latest face of America’s increasingly aggressive immigration enforcement. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) detained her in South Texas before releasing her hours later following in…
The Root · July 1, 2026
A Nun Got Picked Up By ICE On Her Way To Mass. It Took Congress To Get Her Back
A nun is back home after ICE picked her up mid-walk to Sunday Mass — habit and all — in McAllen, just miles from the border. Sister Leticia Ugboaja was detained outside Our Lady of Sorrows Church, and DHS and ICE have stayed silent on why ever since, ignoring…
Crooksandliars.com · June 30, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗