Democratic
Veronica Escobar
Incumbent representative for TX-16. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 16 election, 2026
Veronica Escobar vs. Adam Bauman on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Veronica Escobar favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+13.2
97%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+16.32026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Adam Bauman
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-16. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
What Dems Really Think About the NYT’s DNC Report
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 28, 2026
Rep. Veronica Escobar tells CNN audience that Trump “was found guilty [of rape] by a jury of his peers." The last person to tell this lie was sued for $15 million.
Lawsuit incoming! Lawsuit incoming! Watch the "journalists" at CNN freak out when one of their guests, Veronica Escobar of El Paso, says a verifiably false thing that CNN knows will get them sued into oblivion. VIDEO AT LINK.................. He was found gui…
Freerepublic.com · June 8, 2026
Susan Collins getting reelected is bigger concern than Graham Platner allegations, Texas Democrat claims
Rep. Veronica Escobar claimed Maine Sen. Susan Collins concerns her more than Graham Platner's scandals after the latest controversial report against him.
Fox News · June 8, 2026
ICE Sued Over 'Civil Rights Catastrophe' at West Texas Concentration Camp
A group of legal advocacy groups on Friday sued US Immigration and Customs Enforcement over "inhumane" conditions at the country's largest concentration camp for immigrants detained during the Trump administration's mass deportation campaign.The American Civi…
Common Dreams · May 30, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗