Democratic
Veronica Escobar
Incumbent representative for TX-16. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 16 election, 2026
Veronica Escobar vs. Adam Bauman on a newly enacted 2026 district map.
VotePredictor forecast
Veronica Escobar favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+29.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+16.62026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Adam Bauman
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-16. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-16; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
'We Cannot Wait for Disaster to Strike': Beyer Leads Bipartisan Push in House to Urgently Regulate AI
A bipartisan coalition of lawmakers in the US House of Representatives on Wednesday released a joint letter urging congressional leaders to take immediate action to regulate the artificial intelligence industry.The group, led by Rep. Don Beyer (D-Va.), urged …
Common Dreams · September 16, 2026
'He's afraid': Backlash slaps Mike Johnson as he rushes to shut down House
WASHINGTON — After taking their annual monthlong August break, members of the U.S. House of Representatives worked three and a half days this week. That was enough for Speaker Mike Johnson. Once the House passed a measure funding the government through Decemb…
Raw Story · September 5, 2026
'Devastating to Watch': Texas Democrats Condemn Destruction of Big Bend for Trump Border Wall
The arrival of bulldozers at Big Bend National Park along the US-Mexico border in Texas to clear native vegetation for an access road for President Donald Trump's border wall was more than enough to send outrage through the state Democratic Party and advocacy…
Common Dreams · August 10, 2026
What Dems Really Think About the NYT’s DNC Report
Editor’s Note: Welcome to The TNR Blue Book. It’s our new daily newsletter that covers Congress and much more, but with a distinctly TNR twist: Our focus will be strictly on Democrats, liberal and progressive groups, and the fight to take back power and save …
The New Republic · July 28, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗