VotePredictor
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Texas District 24 election, 2026

Kevin Burge vs. Beth Van Duyne on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Beth Van Duyne favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.0
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+16.4
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Kevin Burge

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-24. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-23 · TX-25