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Texas District 24 election, 2026

Kevin Burge vs. Beth Van Duyne on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Beth Van Duyne favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+10.4
95%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+16.4
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Kevin Burge

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-24. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Rep. Van Duyne Introduces Bill to Crack Down on H-1B Visa Fraud

By EMILY MEDEIROS, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Republican U.S. Rep. Beth Van Duyne has introduced legislation to crack down on H-1B visa fraud, as North Texas has seen a surge in fraud. On Monday, Van Duyne unveiled HR 10643, the H-1B Visa Fraud Crac…

Biztoc.com · October 8, 2026
New H-1B Bill Would Hit Employers With $250,000 Fines

House Republicans introduced legislation that would increase penalties on employers found to have committed serious violations of the H-1B visa program, including raising the maximum fine from $35,000 to $250,000. Representative Beth Van Duyne of Texas introd…

Biztoc.com · October 5, 2026
WH Council of Economic Advisers Chair Christopher Phelan, Presidential adviser Peter Navarro, FERC Chair Laura Swett, Sens. Rounds and Gallego, Southern Company CEO Chris Womack, Reps. Adrian Smith, Beth Van Duyne, April Delaney, Bill Foster, and Janelle Bynum, ExIm's John Jovanovic and more to headline American Growth Summit tomorrow, Tuesday, September 29 in Washington, D.C.

WASHINGTON, Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- A powerhouse lineup of leaders from the administration, US Congress, and American business and civil society will speak at a day-long convening on the evolving topography of America's economic interests hosted by Wid…

PRNewswire · September 28, 2026
Imam who prayed before Congress faces formal rebuke after celebrating Graham's death

Rep. Beth Van Duyne introduced a resolution condemning Imam Omar Suleiman for celebrating Sen. Lindsey Graham's death over his support for Israel.

Fox News · July 15, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-23 · TX-25