Democratic
Kevin Burge
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Texas District 24 election, 2026
Kevin Burge vs. Beth Van Duyne on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Beth Van Duyne favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+10.2
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+16.42026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Beth Van Duyne
Incumbent representative for TX-24. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-24. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Beth Van DuyneREP · incumbent$3.0M raised
Spent $3.3MCash on hand $1.7M3% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$93k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$63k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$35k
- Legal & Professional Services$28k
- Retail, Food & Consumer Goods$16k
States
- TX$329k
- VA$67k
- CA$31k
- NY$25k
- FL$22k
Kevin BurgeDEM$334k raised
Spent $253kCash on hand $81k33% from donors under $200Self-funded $5k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$85k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$17k
- Retired$15k
- Transportation & Logistics$4k
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$3k
States
- TX$194k
- NC$4k
- FL$4k
- CA$1k
- DC$1k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-24; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Rep. Van Duyne Introduces Bill to Crack Down on H-1B Visa Fraud
By EMILY MEDEIROS, The Daily Signal | October 07, 2026 Republican U.S. Rep. Beth Van Duyne has introduced legislation to crack down on H-1B visa fraud, as North Texas has seen a surge in fraud. On Monday, Van Duyne unveiled HR 10643, the H-1B Visa Fraud Crac…
Biztoc.com · October 8, 2026
New H-1B Bill Would Hit Employers With $250,000 Fines
House Republicans introduced legislation that would increase penalties on employers found to have committed serious violations of the H-1B visa program, including raising the maximum fine from $35,000 to $250,000. Representative Beth Van Duyne of Texas introd…
Biztoc.com · October 5, 2026
WH Council of Economic Advisers Chair Christopher Phelan, Presidential adviser Peter Navarro, FERC Chair Laura Swett, Sens. Rounds and Gallego, Southern Company CEO Chris Womack, Reps. Adrian Smith, Beth Van Duyne, April Delaney, Bill Foster, and Janelle Bynum, ExIm's John Jovanovic and more to headline American Growth Summit tomorrow, Tuesday, September 29 in Washington, D.C.
WASHINGTON, Sept. 28, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- A powerhouse lineup of leaders from the administration, US Congress, and American business and civil society will speak at a day-long convening on the evolving topography of America's economic interests hosted by Wid…
PRNewswire · September 28, 2026
Imam who prayed before Congress faces formal rebuke after celebrating Graham's death
Rep. Beth Van Duyne introduced a resolution condemning Imam Omar Suleiman for celebrating Sen. Lindsey Graham's death over his support for Israel.
Fox News · July 15, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗