VotePredictor
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Texas District 29 election, 2026

Sylvia Garcia vs. Martha Fierro on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Sylvia Garcia favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+28.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+29.0
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Martha Fierro

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-29. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-29; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

'Bigotry' as Government Policy: Trump Orders ICE to Ramp Up Arrests of Haitians

Mass arrests of Haitian immigrants by federal agents could begin as early as this week, according to federal documents regarding President Donald Trump's new directive to US Immigration and Customs Enforcement following the right-wing majority on the Supreme …

Common Dreams · July 27, 2026
'Scared?' Furious Dem dares Trump admin to look victims' children 'in the eye'

An angry Democrat dared the Trump administration to look the children of men killed by immigration officers in the eye — but suggested they might be too scared. Rep. James Walkinshaw (D-VA) slammed the Trump administration for failing to attend a public heari…

Raw Story · July 25, 2026
Substance found in van after Houston ICE shooting wasn’t drugs, DA and U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia say - The Texas Tribune

Substance found in van after Houston ICE shooting wasn’t drugs, DA and U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia sayThe Texas Tribune Substance in Houston ICE shooting van was not drugs, district attorney’s office says testing confirmsCNN Substance found in Lorenzo Salgado Ara…

Slashdot.org · July 25, 2026
Substance in Houston ICE shooting van was not drugs, district attorney’s office says testing confirms - CNN

Substance in Houston ICE shooting van was not drugs, district attorney’s office says testing confirmsCNN Bags in vehicle of man fatally shot by ICE did not contain drugs, Texas DA saysNBC News Substance found in Lorenzo Salgado Araujo's van not a narcotic, Ha…

Slashdot.org · July 25, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-28 · TX-3