Democratic
Sylvia Garcia
Incumbent representative for TX-29. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Texas District 29 election, 2026
Sylvia Garcia vs. Martha Fierro on a newly enacted 2026 district map. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Sylvia Garcia favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+38.1
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+30.92026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Martha Fierro
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-29. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Sylvia GarciaDEM · incumbent$1.2M raised
Spent $1.3MCash on hand $236k2% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$80k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$70k
- Legal & Professional Services$40k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$29k
- Unemployed$18k
States
- TX$350k
- DC$10k
- CO$4k
- CA$4k
- MD$4k
Martha FierroREP$585 raised
Spent $93Cash on hand $492Debts $840100% from donors under $200
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-29; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Every House Member Who’s Still Not at Work After a Five-Week Vacation
The House of Representatives has returned from its five-week summer vacation, but for more than three dozen members that extended break apparently wasn’t enough.According to the House clerk, 46 lawmakers failed to make it back to Washington in time for the fi…
The New Republic · September 1, 2026
'Bigotry' as Government Policy: Trump Orders ICE to Ramp Up Arrests of Haitians
Mass arrests of Haitian immigrants by federal agents could begin as early as this week, according to federal documents regarding President Donald Trump's new directive to US Immigration and Customs Enforcement following the right-wing majority on the Supreme …
Common Dreams · July 27, 2026
'Scared?' Furious Dem dares Trump admin to look victims' children 'in the eye'
An angry Democrat dared the Trump administration to look the children of men killed by immigration officers in the eye — but suggested they might be too scared. Rep. James Walkinshaw (D-VA) slammed the Trump administration for failing to attend a public heari…
Raw Story · July 25, 2026
Substance found in van after Houston ICE shooting wasn’t drugs, DA and U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia say - The Texas Tribune
Substance found in van after Houston ICE shooting wasn’t drugs, DA and U.S. Rep. Sylvia Garcia sayThe Texas Tribune Substance in Houston ICE shooting van was not drugs, district attorney’s office says testing confirmsCNN Substance found in Lorenzo Salgado Ara…
Slashdot.org · July 25, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗