VotePredictor
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Texas District 3 election, 2026

Evan Hunt vs. Keith Self on a newly enacted 2026 district map.

VotePredictor forecast
Keith Self favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+18.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+24.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Evan Hunt

Major-party general-election nominee.

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for TX-3. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for TX-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in Texas's 3rd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Congressman asks IRS to investigate Islamic Society of North America over El-Sayed campaign activity.

According to the Middle East Forum’s report, El-Sayed’s campaign operated an exhibitor booth inside the convention hall, where campaign workers promoted his candidacy, solicited donations and recruited volunteers. Sep 21, 2026. Rep. Keith Self, R-Texas, is as…

Freerepublic.com · September 23, 2026
Foreigners Conquered Europe. Congress Can Stop Them From Doing The Same Thing Here

By REP. KEITH SELF via The Daily Signal | September 09, 2026 In 1973, French author Jean Raspail published “The Camp of the Saints,” a dystopian novel imagining a bleak future where massive waves of migrants from the Third World overwhelmed France and Western…

Biztoc.com · September 11, 2026
Shaheen, Grassley, Self Issue Statement Ahead of the Funeral of Ratko Mladic

Today, U.S. Senators Jeanne Shaheen (D-NH), Ranking Member of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and Chuck Grassley (R-IA), Chair of the Senate Judiciary Committee, along with Representative Keith Self (R-TX), Chair of the House Foreign Affairs Committee…

Globalsecurity.org · September 6, 2026
EXCLUSIVE: GOP Congressman to Introduce Resolution Condemning Sharia Law, Wants House Vote Before Midterms

Co-founder of the Sharia Free America Caucus, Rep. Keith Self, R-Texas, will introduce a resolution on Thursday condemning Sharia law and aims to get a House vote on the resolution before the November midterms. Titled “Denouncing Sharia Law in the United Stat…

Daily Signal · September 3, 2026

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: TX-29 · TX-30