Democratic
Bobby Scott
Incumbent representative for VA-3. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Bobby Scott favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+43.4
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+35.82026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Edwin Rivera
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
New House Republican attack will spur 'pain and suffering' for students: lawmaker
WASHINGTON — A major legislative package that would put into law President Donald Trump’s push to greatly reduce the responsibilities of the U.S. Department of Education advanced out of a U.S. House panel on Wednesday.The U.S. House Committee on Education and…
Raw Story · July 16, 2026
How to Get a Labor Rights Bill Through a GOP House
In Oscar Wilde’s 1895 comedy The Importance of Being Earnest, the epigram-spouting Lady Bracknell is told by Jack Worthing, her daughter’s suitor, that he’s lost both his parents. To this, the lady replies imperiously: “To lose one parent, Mr. Worthing, may b…
The New Republic · June 12, 2026
A Whiff of Rebellion From Trump’s Labor Board
Even Crystal S. Carey, Republican general counsel of the National Labor Relations Board, or NLRB, the federal agency that adjudicates labor-management disputes, thinks President Donald Trump and congressional Republicans are screwing up her agency.Carey, who …
The New Republic · June 5, 2026
Crypto In 401(k)s: Senators Sanders, Warren Letter Warns $14 Trillion At Risk From DOL Proposal
Democrats in Congress are pressing back against a US Department of Labor (DOL) proposal that could significantly expand how Americans can use 401(k) retirement accounts—particularly by allowing allocations to crypto assets. In a letter shared with The Guardi…
newsBTC · June 2, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗