Democratic
Elaine Luria
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Jen Kiggans favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+8.8
90%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+0.42026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Jen Kiggans
Incumbent representative for VA-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-2. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Virginia voters cement swing-district rematch after Dems’ redistricting fail
Elaine Luria secures the Democratic nomination in Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, setting up a high-stakes rematch with Rep. Jennifer Kiggans.
Fox News · August 4, 2026
PM Netanyahu meets with AIPAC congressional delegation
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu met on Thursday with a bipartisan delegation of US Congress members organized by AIPAC at the Prime Minister's Office in Jerusalem.The Prime Minister thanked the delegation members for their consistent support for the State o…
Israelnationalnews.com · January 29, 2026
Venmo accounts found for 50 members of Congress — and 30 Trump admin officials: report
Spending habits of 50 members of Congress and 30 officials in President Donald Trump's administration are on display in publicly accessible Venmo account, according to a report Tuesday.NOTUS reporter Mark Alfred sifted through the accounts and the associated …
Raw Story · April 8, 2025
Democrats recruited third-party candidates to siphon votes from Republicans — which could decide close Virginia congressional contest
Candidate recruitment from a furtive political organization could threaten a tight Virginia congressional race, returning the Commonwealth’s 2nd District to Democratic hands. The Patriots Run Project, a group linked to Democrat-aligned campaign firms, scouted…
New York Post · September 16, 2024
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗