Democratic
Don Beyer
Incumbent representative for VA-8. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Don Beyer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+56.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+50.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tony Sabio
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Shelly Arnoldi · Libertarian
- Tim Sharman · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-8. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
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WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said that he has struck a deal to obtain diesel from Russia, a stunning reversal of years of U.S. pressure on Moscow over its war with Ukraine and an attempt to address high fuel prices ahead of the U.S. midterm electi…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 9, 2026
Trump announces Russian diesel deal weeks after signing sweeping sanctions law
WASHINGTON (AP) — President Donald Trump said he has struck a deal to obtain diesel from Russia, a stunning reversal of years of U.S. pressure on Moscow over its war with Ukraine and an attempt to address high fuel prices ahead of the U.S. midterm elections. …
Yahoo Entertainment · October 9, 2026
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President Donald Trump has promised to preemptively pardon anyone who has come "within 200 feet" of the Oval Office before he leaves office, but that pledge could set up a clash with Democrats who are weighing whether to prosecute administration officials for…
Raw Story · October 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗