VotePredictor
← all House races

Virginia District 8 election, 2026

Don Beyer vs. Tony Sabio.

VotePredictor forecast
Don Beyer favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+59.3
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+51.5
2026 national environment
D+6.3
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Republican

Tony Sabio

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Shelly Arnoldi · Libertarian
  • Tim Sharman · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-8. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-8; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: VA-7 · VA-9