Democratic
Eugene Vindman
Incumbent representative for VA-7. Voting record, ideology and biography →
← all House races
Virginia District 7 election, 2026
Eugene Vindman vs. Doug Ollivant. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Eugene Vindman favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+10.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+3.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±3.7 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Doug Ollivant
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Alaha Ahrar · Independent
- Taner Demirci Lopez · Libertarian
- Randall Terry · Independent
- Joshua Ertle · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for VA-7. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Eugene VindmanDEM · incumbent$16.3M raised
Spent $11.2MCash on hand $5.2M52% from donors under $200Self-funded $716
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$3.5M
- Self-Employed & Freelance$530k
- Retired$251k
- Legal & Professional Services$176k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$170k
States
- VA$1.1M
- CA$1.0M
- NY$609k
- MA$451k
- FL$327k
Doug OllivantREP$389k raised
Spent $280kCash on hand $109k18% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$79k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$18k
- Technology & Communications$12k
- Defense & Aerospace$7k
- Manufacturing & Industrial$5k
States
- VA$231k
- TX$19k
- DC$17k
- NY$11k
- FL$9k
Randall TerryIND$74k raised
Spent $59kCash on hand $15kDebts $8k35% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$28k
States
- IL$12k
- FL$5k
- MO$4k
- MD$3k
- NE$1k
Alaha AhrarIND$29k raised
Spent $11kCash on hand $4k25% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- WAIZI, WAHAB$5k
- AFSHAR, REZA$4k
- ABBASI, ALI$3k
- AFSHAR, REZA$2k
- VOLLMER, CHARLES$2k
Industries
- Defense & Aerospace$5k
States
- VA$10k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for VA-7; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Virginia's 7th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
New Bill Would Force Large Data Centers to Disclose Power and Water Use
Data centers would be required to disclose their water and power use under a new bill designed to better inform communities affected by proposed developments. Introduced by Virginia Democratic representative Eugene Vindman on Thursday, the proposed legislatio…
Biztoc.com · November 2, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted to Defund Schools That Boycott Israel
On Thursday, 33 Democrats joined Republicans to pass a law that would take federal funding away from academic institutions involved in any kind of boycott of or divestment from Israel. The legislation passed 237–169.The Protect Economic and Academic Freedom A…
The New Republic · September 3, 2026
Wait, Are Dems Ahead in ... Arkansas?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDo Democrats have a chance to flip a Senate seat in Arkansas? One poll this week s…
The New Republic · August 21, 2026
Florida’s Democratic Senate Primary Isn’t What It Seems
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonFlorida’s Senate primary isn’t what it seemsOn the surface, Angie Nixon’s and Alex…
The New Republic · August 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗