Democratic
Marilyn Strickland
Incumbent representative for WA-10. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Washington District 10 election, 2026
Marilyn Strickland vs. Chris Chung. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Marilyn Strickland favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+27.5
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+18.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Chris Chung
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-10. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Marilyn StricklandDEM · incumbent$1.9M raised
Spent $1.9MCash on hand $609kDebts $50k4% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$346k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$63k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$53k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$35k
- Legal & Professional Services$25k
States
- WA$611k
- CA$85k
- NY$56k
- DC$43k
- FL$22k
Chris ChungREP— raised
Spent —Cash on hand —
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-10; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Dems Want to Regulate AI. But Will AI Money Divide Them?
You’re reading The TNR Blue Book. Get daily scoops, strategy, and developments inside the liberal ideas factory delivered right to your inbox. Sign up for free.Inside WashingtonDems want to regulate AI. But will AI money divide them?Democrats are loudly deman…
The New Republic · September 11, 2026
Graham Platner Has Already Inspired Another Left-Wing Veteran to Take On an Establishment Dem
Alex Scheel is running an anti-war campaign to unseat incumbent Rep. Marilyn Strickland. He’s also a longtime member of the DSA in Washington state. The post Graham Platner Has Already Inspired Another Left-Wing Veteran to Take On an Establishment Dem appeare…
The Intercept · July 5, 2026
86 Democrats Condemn Socialism as Zohran Mamdani Meets With Trump
In a country where the cost of living skyrockets while wages remain low, where a few broken bones can leave you in financial ruin, and where the young feel they have no chance at any upward mobility, 86 House Democrats joined Republicans to pass a resolution …
The New Republic · November 21, 2025
'I want no part of that': GOP lawmakers join Dems in effort to derail Pete Hegseth plan
Both Republican and Democratic lawmakers are “cautiously optimistic” that they will be able to stick a knife in Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth’s base renaming binge and force the Pentagon to erase some of the changes he has already made.According to a report …
Raw Story · September 16, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗