Democratic
Suzan DelBene
Incumbent representative for WA-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Washington District 1 election, 2026
Suzan DelBene vs. Mary Silva. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Suzan DelBene favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+36.7
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+29.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Mary Silva
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Suzan DelBeneDEM · incumbent$4.3M raised
Spent $4.3MCash on hand $1.0MDebts $495k22% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$487k
- Retired$148k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$56k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$56k
- Technology & Communications$53k
States
- WA$821k
- CA$114k
- DC$44k
- MA$40k
- NY$28k
Mary SilvaREP$8k raised
Spent $7kCash on hand $1k13% from donors under $200Self-funded $6k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$1k
- Not Reported$500
- Healthcare & Pharmaceuticals$250
States
- WA$2k
- SC$250
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
CBS's Garrett: 'I Don't Hear Much About the Agenda' for Dems
On Thursday’s edition of CBS’s “The Takeout,” host and CBS News Chief Washington Correspondent Major Garrett stated that he doesn’t hear a lot about what Democrats’ actual agenda is. While speaking with Rep. Suzan DelBene (D-WA), Garrett asked, “Is this The p…
Breitbart News · October 30, 2026
Some Republicans fear $1 billion may not be enough to overcome midterm challenges
WASHINGTON (AP) — Republicans are entering the final month of the midterm campaign increasingly anxious that the $1 billion at their disposal may not be enough to fend off sweeping losses as the party reckons with President Donald Trump's unpopularity, persis…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 7, 2026
Trump's '200 feet' pardon pledge tees up clash as charges eyed for his officials
President Donald Trump has promised to preemptively pardon anyone who has come "within 200 feet" of the Oval Office before he leaves office, but that pledge could set up a clash with Democrats who are weighing whether to prosecute administration officials for…
Raw Story · October 5, 2026
4 ways the midterm elections could turn out, with a month to go
Democrats are heading into the last month of the midterm elections campaign with ambitions going deeper and deeper into red territory, while Republicans are grim about their hopes of holding on to either chamber of Congress. Historically, the opposition part…
Yahoo Entertainment · October 5, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗