Democratic
Rick Larsen
Incumbent representative for WA-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Washington District 2 election, 2026
Rick Larsen vs. Edwin Feller. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Rick Larsen favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+35.9
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+24.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Edwin Feller
Major-party general-election nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WA-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Rick LarsenDEM · incumbent$2.6M raised
Spent $2.3MCash on hand $537k5% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$271k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$55k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$43k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$42k
- Legal & Professional Services$34k
States
- WA$596k
- CA$66k
- DC$58k
- TX$32k
- MD$26k
Edwin FellerREP$11k raised
Spent $4kCash on hand $7k10% from donors under $200Self-funded $3k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Not Reported$3k
- Retired$2k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$500
States
- WA$6k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WA-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Washington's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Larsen seeks to chair House Transportation Committee
Democratic Representative from Washington, Rick Larsen, launched his bid to chair the House Transportation Committee, Politico reported on Wednesday, citing a letter the official sent to the caucus.La...
Biztoc.com · November 4, 2026
Rep. Rick Larsen says lawmakers "need to get serious" about AI
From terror groups to possible existential threats to rogue bots, safety concerns over artificial intelligence have grown in recent weeks. Democratic Rep. Rick Larsen of Washington joins CBS News to discuss how Congress can act.
CBS News · September 18, 2026
Every Democrat Who Voted Against Impeaching Trump
House Democrats launched another Hail Mary bid to impeach President Donald Trump, but the effort was undercut by members of their own party.More than a dozen Democrats joined 213 Republicans in voting “no” Tuesday night. Another 46 Democrats simply voted “pre…
The New Republic · September 16, 2026
'We got rolled by our own party': Republican rips GOP leaders for backroom deal
Rep. Tim Burchett (R-TN) erupted at his own party Thursday after Republican leaders cut a backroom deal with Democrats that he says blocked GOP amendments to a sprawling $580 billion infrastructure bill."We got rolled by our own party and cut a deal with the …
Raw Story · May 21, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗