Democratic
Mark Pocan
Incumbent representative for WI-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
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Wisconsin District 2 election, 2026
Mark Pocan vs. Republican nominee TBD. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Mark Pocan favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+49.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
D+40.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.2 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Mark PocanDEM · incumbent$1.0M raised
Spent $1.1MCash on hand $882k14% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$70k
- Retired$66k
- Unemployed$54k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$20k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$12k
States
- WI$220k
- CA$15k
- DC$11k
- KY$7k
- IL$6k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Mark Pocan continues his undefeated electoral record in 2026 midterms
The gay Democrat has won all of his general and primary elections since he first ran for the Wisconsin State Assembly in 1998.
Advocate.com · November 4, 2026
The Return of the Brazilian Far Right Is a Climate Catastrophe
On October 25, Brazilians will vote in the second round of their presidential elections. The matter might not be all that suspenseful. The far right-wing candidate, Flávio Bolsonaro, is widely favored to defeat the incumbent, President Lula da Silva, especial…
The New Republic · October 12, 2026
Van Orden Tries To Start A Fight But Keeps Getting Beat Up
Rebecca Cooke, Drunken Van Orden's opponent, was doing the usual campaign things over the weekend, such as visiting American veterans at a breakfast event. She posted about it on Xitter and said she comes from a long line of veterans and that, if elected, she…
Crooksandliars.com · September 4, 2026
33 Dems Help Pass House Bill That Would Strip Funds From Colleges That Boycott Israel
The US House of Representatives on Thursday passed what critics say could be one of the most severe infringements on free expression in recent memory—a bill that could effectively require colleges and universities to do business with Israel or risk losing fed…
Common Dreams · September 3, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗