Democratic
Mitchell Berman
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Bryan Steil favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.6
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+4.22026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Bryan Steil
Incumbent representative for WI-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-1. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Wisconsin's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
Candidate news
Scheme to turn blue wave into tsunami includes a candidate who isn't even a Dem
With less than 50 days until Election Day, House Democrats are adding new candidates to their top recruits list — including one who isn't actually a Democrat.The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee announced Tuesday that it is expanding its "Red to Bl…
Raw Story · September 15, 2026
House GOP issue contempt threat against ActBlue after Dem fundraiser refuses to turn over hundreds of documents
WASHINGTON — The leaders of three Republican House committees threatened Monday to hold Democratic fundraising powerhouse ActBlue in contempt of Congress after the firm refused to turn over more than 400 documents, citing attorney-client privilege. A letter f…
Freerepublic.com · June 22, 2026
Republican lawmaker proposes prediction markets insider trading ban, not including White House officials
Representative Bryan Steil introduced a bill to prevent members of Congress from “wagering on public policy issues and political outcomes.”
Cointelegraph · June 19, 2026
Steil pushes bill to ban lawmakers from political prediction markets
House Administration Chair Bryan Steil is pitching legislation that would bar lawmakers and their family members from wagering on certain Washington-focused prediction markets. The Wisconsin Republican's bill, introduced Thursday, proposes to prohibit member…
Biztoc.com · June 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗