Democratic
Nominee not yet identified
The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.
Other listed democratic candidates: Miguel Aranda, Mitchell Berman, Lorenzo Santos.
VotePredictor forecast
Bryan Steil favored
Toss-up · predicted margin R+0.2
51%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+4.22026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Bryan Steil
Incumbent representative for WI-1. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-1. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
House GOP issue contempt threat against ActBlue after Dem fundraiser refuses to turn over hundreds of documents
WASHINGTON — The leaders of three Republican House committees threatened Monday to hold Democratic fundraising powerhouse ActBlue in contempt of Congress after the firm refused to turn over more than 400 documents, citing attorney-client privilege. A letter f…
Freerepublic.com · June 22, 2026
Republican lawmaker proposes prediction markets insider trading ban, not including White House officials
Representative Bryan Steil introduced a bill to prevent members of Congress from “wagering on public policy issues and political outcomes.”
Cointelegraph · June 19, 2026
Steil pushes bill to ban lawmakers from political prediction markets
House Administration Chair Bryan Steil is pitching legislation that would bar lawmakers and their family members from wagering on certain Washington-focused prediction markets. The Wisconsin Republican's bill, introduced Thursday, proposes to prohibit member…
Biztoc.com · June 18, 2026
ActBlue CEO pleads the Fifth as House probes illegal foreign donations to Dems
The CEO of the largest Democratic fundraising platform pleaded the Fifth Amendment Wednesday rather than testify before Congress about allegations that her firm illegally funneled foreign donations to federal campaigns. “On the advice of my counsel, I respect…
Freerepublic.com · June 11, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗