VotePredictor
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Wisconsin District 3 election, 2026

Democratic nominee TBD vs. Derrick Van Orden.

VotePredictor forecast
Democrat favored
Toss-up · predicted margin D+1.2
57%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+6.5
2026 national environment
D+5.5
Model uncertainty
±6.9 points

Fundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.

Democratic

Nominee not yet identified

The primary may be unresolved, or the source does not yet list one clear nominee.

Other listed democratic candidates: Emily Berge, Rebecca Cooke.

Other listed candidates

  • Alexander Kent · Independent
  • Rustin Provance · Independent

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-3. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-3; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: WI-2 · WI-4