Democratic
Gwen Moore
Incumbent representative for WI-4. Voting record, ideology and biography →
VotePredictor forecast
Gwen Moore favored
Safe D · predicted margin D+58.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
D+52.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Democratic incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Tim Rogers
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Arthur Burks · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-4. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-4; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Higher Gas Costs Are ‘Busting’ Budgets: Moore
Democratic Representative Gwen Moore of Wisconsin says higher gasoline prices are deepening Americans' cost-of-living ...
Biztoc.com · August 14, 2026
Wis Democrat: People Should Not Be Shy Of The Term Socialist
Rep Gwen Moore of Wisconsin went on C-SPAN and discussed her views about Democratic Socialism and advised her fellow Democrats not to be so afraid of the word socialism because they are going to get called that by the Republicans, whether it's true or not. We…
Crooksandliars.com · July 21, 2026
Democrats Erupt in Trump State of Union: “You’re Killing Americans!”
Several Democratic representatives shouted at President Trump from their seats as he lied about protecting American citizens during his State of the Union speech on Tuesday. “The first duty of the American government is to protect American citizens, not illeg…
The New Republic · February 25, 2026
How biblical justice finally caught up to a leftist judge
For years, Democrats have wielded the phrase “no one is above the law” like a cudgel, particularly when it suited their political vendettas against Donald Trump and other political opponents. Of course, they never really meant it. All animals are equal, but …
TheBlaze · May 11, 2025
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗