Democratic
Andrew Beck
Major-party general-election nominee.
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Wisconsin District 5 election, 2026
Andrew Beck vs. Scott Fitzgerald. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Scott Fitzgerald favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+14.8
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+22.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Scott Fitzgerald
Incumbent representative for WI-5. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-5. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Scott FitzgeraldREP · incumbent$1.7M raised
Spent $1.4MCash on hand $1.2M3% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Retired$105k
- Finance, Insurance & Real Estate$54k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$39k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$29k
- Legal & Professional Services$28k
States
- WI$216k
- VA$66k
- IL$54k
- DC$39k
- FL$26k
Andrew BeckDEM$15k raised
Spent $12kCash on hand $3kDebts $42526% from donors under $200Self-funded $2k
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- BECK, ANDREW$2k
- KIDDNEY, RICHARD$1k
- SHAFER, J M$1k
- GAN, CHRIS$500
- CROUSE, LAURA$300
Industries
- Unemployed$2k
- Retired$1k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$750
States
- WI$4k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-5; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Copyright Office Solicits Comment on Music Streaming Fraud
Today, the U.S. Copyright Office published a notice of inquiry (NOI) in the Federal Register soliciting public comment on issues related to music piracy threatening billions in U.S. domestic revenues generated by digital streaming. The Office’s NOI responds t…
IPWatchdog.com · October 7, 2026
New Bill Would Overhaul Judicial Misconduct Proceedings in Light of Moore-Newman Battle
Representative Scott Fitzgerald (R-WI) has introduced a bill to amend the Judicial Conduct and Disability Act, inspired by U.S. Court of Appeals for the Federal Circuit (CAFC) Judge Pauline Newman’s fight to restore her status as an active judge, following a …
IPWatchdog.com · September 17, 2026
Why NFL, Packers are battling with Wisconsin Rep. Scott Fitzgerald
U.S. Rep. Scott Fitzgerald chaired a June 10 hearing scrutinizing the Sports Broadcasting Act, which the Packers say is critical to their survival.
Milwaukee Journal Sentinel · June 10, 2026
Congress takes aim at NFL’s antitrust exemption over soaring TV costs for fans
Rep. Scott Fitzgerald said the NFL and other professional leagues have strayed far from the original purpose of the Sports Broadcasting Act of 1961.
New York Post · June 10, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗