Democratic
Brad Smith
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Glenn Grothman favored
Likely R · predicted margin R+10.0
94%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+16.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Glenn Grothman
Incumbent representative for WI-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Matthew Arndt · Green
- Elizabeth Fitzgibbon · Independent
- Michael Thurow · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-6. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Wisconsin's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
How Not To Win Votes And Influence People
Matthew Arndt, a Green Party congressional candidate from Wisconsin, was arrested Thursday after being involved in a road rage incident. It started when Arndt caught up to an unnamed driver who had a "F Hamas" bumper sticker on his car. Arndt started driving…
Crooksandliars.com · October 10, 2026
Fretting MAGA rep whines Congress 'should do a little more' for the rich
A Republican lawmaker commented that Congress could make more of an effort to help out wealthy Americans, The Independent reported on Friday.Trump loyalist Rep. Glenn Grothman (R-WI) was speaking Thursday at a panel in Troy, Michigan, with other leaders when …
Raw Story · August 14, 2026
GOP Lawmaker Says Congress Needs To Do More For The Rich
Wisconsin Rep. Glenn Grothman apparently got lost and ended up at an Americans for Prosperity event in Michigan. Or maybe he heard they were giving away bratwursts. Either way, while there, someone made a mistake and handed Grothman a microphone. What happene…
Crooksandliars.com · August 14, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗