Democratic
Brad Smith
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Glenn Grothman favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+20.9
100%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+16.02026 national environment
D+6.3Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Glenn Grothman
Incumbent representative for WI-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Matthew Arndt · Green
- Elizabeth Fitzgibbon · Independent
- Michael Thurow · Independent
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WI-6. The forecast above uses fundamentals only.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WI-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in Wisconsin's 6th district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Fretting MAGA rep whines Congress 'should do a little more' for the rich
A Republican lawmaker commented that Congress could make more of an effort to help out wealthy Americans, The Independent reported on Friday.Trump loyalist Rep. Glenn Grothman (R-WI) was speaking Thursday at a panel in Troy, Michigan, with other leaders when …
Raw Story · August 14, 2026
GOP Lawmaker Says Congress Needs To Do More For The Rich
Wisconsin Rep. Glenn Grothman apparently got lost and ended up at an Americans for Prosperity event in Michigan. Or maybe he heard they were giving away bratwursts. Either way, while there, someone made a mistake and handed Grothman a microphone. What happene…
Crooksandliars.com · August 14, 2026
Just How Big Could Democrats Win In 2026?
Politics / April 10, 2026 Just How Big Could Democrats Win In 2026? The results from an important race in Wisconsin this week suggest the Republicans could be in very big trouble. John Nichols Share Copy Link Facebo…
Thenation.com · April 10, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗