Democratic
Ace Parsi
Major-party general-election nominee.
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West Virginia District 2 election, 2026
Ace Parsi vs. Riley Moore. Today's article: every forecast for this race →
VotePredictor forecast
Riley Moore favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+32.2
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential margin
R+40.02026 national environment
D+8.0District polls
noneForecast spread
±6.6 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Riley Moore
Incumbent representative for WV-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WV-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Campaign money
FEC reports through October 14, 2026Riley MooreREP · incumbent$1.6M raised
Spent $1.2MCash on hand $581kDebts $61k14% from donors under $200
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
- TEAM RILEY$204k
- TEAM RILEY$181k
- BARON, JONATHAN$7k
- KELLY, KEVIN$7k
- LEVY, EDWARD$7k
Industries
- Not Reported$78k
- Nonprofit, Labor & Civil Society$36k
- Government Relations and Lobbying Services$23k
- Legal & Professional Services$19k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$19k
States
- WV$94k
- VA$46k
- CA$36k
- NY$20k
- FL$20k
Ace ParsiDEM$277k raised
Spent $188kCash on hand $89k21% from donors under $200Self-funded $100
Top contributors, industries and states
Contributors
Industries
- Unemployed$93k
- Retired$23k
- Self-Employed & Freelance$14k
- Education & Academia$12k
- Not Reported$7k
States
- WV$157k
- DC$12k
- NY$8k
- PA$5k
- VA$4k
What each candidate's own campaign committees reported for the 2025–26 cycle; outside spending by PACs and parties is not included. Industries are classified from donors' reported employers. The House forecast's win probability reads the two nominees' shares of individual contributions shown here, a small term that never moves the predicted margin. Data: GovMoneyGraph, based on FEC records.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WV-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in West Virginia's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
‘People Are Pretty Freaked Out’: GOP Congressman Sounds Alarm On Socialist Agenda
By ROBERT B. BLUEY, The Daily Signal | September 19, 2026 Republicans want to define the 2026 midterm elections by contrasting their own party with the growing number of far-left Democrats and socialists. Rep. Riley Moore, a first-term Republican lawmaker fro…
Biztoc.com · September 22, 2026
Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives
By MALIA LOOCK, The Daily Signal | September 18, 2026 U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress. The …
Biztoc.com · September 21, 2026
‘Communists and Islamists’ Are on the Ballot: GOP Congressman’s Warning on 2026
Republicans want to define the 2026 midterm elections by contrasting their own party with the growing number of far-left Democrats and socialists. Rep. Riley Moore, a first-term Republican lawmaker from West Virginia, told the Daily Signal that will be key to…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026
Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives
U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress. The conversation about representing both Christianity and …
Daily Signal · September 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗