Democratic
Ace Parsi
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
Riley Moore favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+34.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+40.02026 national environment
D+6.6District polls
noneForecast spread
±7.8 pointsMargin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.
Republican
Riley Moore
Incumbent representative for WV-2. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WV-2. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WV-2; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Past results
Every election in West Virginia's 2nd district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
‘People Are Pretty Freaked Out’: GOP Congressman Sounds Alarm On Socialist Agenda
By ROBERT B. BLUEY, The Daily Signal | September 19, 2026 Republicans want to define the 2026 midterm elections by contrasting their own party with the growing number of far-left Democrats and socialists. Rep. Riley Moore, a first-term Republican lawmaker fro…
Biztoc.com · September 22, 2026
Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives
By MALIA LOOCK, The Daily Signal | September 18, 2026 U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress. The …
Biztoc.com · September 21, 2026
‘Communists and Islamists’ Are on the Ballot: GOP Congressman’s Warning on 2026
Republicans want to define the 2026 midterm elections by contrasting their own party with the growing number of far-left Democrats and socialists. Rep. Riley Moore, a first-term Republican lawmaker from West Virginia, told the Daily Signal that will be key to…
Daily Signal · September 19, 2026
Belief in Action: Reps Mary Miller and Riley Moore Share How Faith Influences Their Lives
U.S. Reps Mary Miller, R-Ill., and Riley Moore, R-W. W.Va., joined Heritage Foundation President Kevin Roberts on Tuesday to discuss their Christian faith and its influence on their work in Congress. The conversation about representing both Christianity and …
Daily Signal · September 18, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗