VotePredictor
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West Virginia District 1 election, 2026

Vince George vs. Carol Miller.

VotePredictor forecast
Carol Miller favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+38.0
99%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+44.0
2026 national environment
D+6.6
District polls
none
Forecast spread
±7.8 points

Margin from the district's presidential lean on its 2026 lines, one fitted intercept and the national environment as a uniform swing; the win probability adds a decaying incumbency premium (Republican incumbent running). No district poll is blended in.

Democratic

Vince George

Major-party general-election nominee.

Other listed candidates

  • Belinda Fox-Spencer · Constitution

Polls

No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for WV-1. The forecast above is the model alone: lean, incumbency and the national environment.

Other forecasts

We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for WV-1; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.

Past results

Every election in West Virginia's 1st district we hold a result for. District numbers are reused across redistricting, so older rows may cover different ground than the seat does today.

YearWinnerMargin

Candidate news

Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗

Nearby in the directory: WI-8 · WV-2