Actual result
D+1.9
Final polls said
R+1.5
2 late polls · ✗
Model predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Opinion Research Associates | EVEN | 1.9 | ✗ |
| 2 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | R+3.0 | 4.9 | ✗ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | 2000-10-31 | 417 | R+3.0 | 5 |
| Opinion Research Associates | 2000-10-29 | 400 | EVEN | 2 |