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Toss-up · 2004 House
Colorado House
In the 2004 Colorado House race, Marilyn N. Musgrave (R) won by about 6 points.
Actual result
R+6.3
Final polls said
R+17.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ciruli Associates | R+17.0 | 10.7 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Ciruli Associates2004-10-1211
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2004 Colorado House race?
Marilyn N. Musgrave (R) won, by about 6.3 points (R+6.3).
When was the 2004 Colorado House election held?
It was held in November 2004.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.