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Toss-up · 2010 Senate
Vermont Senate
In the 2010 Vermont Senate race, Patrick J. Leahy (D) won by about 33 points.
Actual result
D+33.4
Final polls said
D+32.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
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Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy | D+35.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
| 2 | Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports) | D+30.0 | 3.4 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
2 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy2010-10-122
Scott Rasmussen (Rasmussen Reports)2010-09-133
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2010 Vermont Senate race?
Patrick J. Leahy (D) won, by about 33.4 points (D+33.4).
When was the 2010 Vermont Senate election held?
It was held in November 2010.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.