Actual result
R+36.6
Final polls said
R+41.0
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+41.3
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wiese Research Associates | R+41.0 | 4.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor | R+41.3 | 4.7 | ✓ |
Polls (2)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wiese Research Associates | 2012-10-24 | 200 | R+41.0 | 4 |
| Wiese Research Associates | 2012-09-19 | 169 | R+45.0 | 8 |