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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Colorado Governor
In the 2018 Colorado Governor race, Jared Polis (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | D+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Keating Research/Magellan Strategies | D+7.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Magellan Strategies | D+5.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Magellan Strategies2018-10-296
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson2018-10-273
YouGov2018-10-141
Magellan Strategies2018-10-094
Keating Research/Magellan Strategies2018-09-194
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Colorado Governor race?
Jared Polis (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2018 Colorado Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.