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Toss-up · 2018 Governor
Colorado Governor
In the 2018 Colorado Governor race, Jared Polis (D) won by about 11 points.
Actual result
D+10.6
Final polls said
D+6.5
2 late polls · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls" = the last ~3 weeks; the prediction is walk-forward. How this is scored →
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | YouGov | D+12.0 | 1.4 | ✓ |
| 2 | Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson | D+8.0 | 2.6 | ✓ |
| 3 | Keating Research/Magellan Strategies | D+7.0 | 3.6 | ✓ |
| 4 | Magellan Strategies | D+5.0 | 5.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 95% | 0.003 | ✓ |
| 2 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 91% | 0.009 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
5 polls · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Magellan Strategies2018-10-296
Keating Research/OnSight Public Affairs/Melanson2018-10-273
YouGov2018-10-141
Magellan Strategies2018-10-094
Keating Research/Magellan Strategies2018-09-194
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2018 Colorado Governor race?
Jared Polis (D) won, by about 10.6 points (D+10.6).
When was the 2018 Colorado Governor election held?
It was held in November 2018.