Actual result
R+58.3
Final polls said
R+52.3
1 late poll · ✓
Model predicted
R+57.2
✓
Winner
Rep
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. The model's prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VotePredictor | R+57.2 | 1.0 | ✓ |
| 2 | University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | R+52.3 | 6.0 | ✓ |
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | n | Poll | Miss |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| University of Wyoming Survey & Analysis Center | 2022-10-28 | 436 | R+52.3 | 6 |