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Toss-up · 2024 House
Georgia House
In the 2024 Georgia House race, Sanford D. Bishop, Jr. (D) won by about 13 points.
Actual result
D+12.6
Final polls said
D+11.0
1 late poll · ✓
VotePredictor Elections predicted
—
Winner
Dem
"Final polls said" averages polls from the last ~3 weeks — the call right before the vote, and how pollsters are rated. VotePredictor Elections' prediction is walk-forward (trained only on earlier races).
Final rankings
How everyone who called this race did, ranked — VotePredictor Elections shown inline (★).
Pollsters — each pollster's final poll vs the result
| # | Pollster | Final call | Miss | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Public Policy Polling | D+11.0 | 1.6 | ✓ |
Forecasters — pre-election win probability, scored by Brier
| # | Forecaster | Win prob | Brier | Called |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cook Political | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 2 | Inside Elections | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 3 | Sabato's Crystal Ball | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 4 | CNalysis | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 5 | JHK Forecasts | Dem 98% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 6 | FiveThirtyEight | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 7 | Race to the WH | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 8 | Elections Daily | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 9 | Fox News | Dem 99% | 0.000 | ✓ |
| 10 | The Economist | Dem 96% | 0.002 | ✓ |
| 11 | VotePredictor Elections | Dem 93% | 0.004 | ✓ |
| 12 | RealClearPolitics | Dem 90% | 0.010 | ✓ |
| 13 | Split Ticket | Dem 88% | 0.014 | ✓ |
| 14 | DDHQ/Decision Desk | Dem 85% | 0.023 | ✓ |
The polls behind it
1 poll · newest firstPollsterDateSampleMiss
Public Policy Polling2024-10-172
Frequently asked questions
Who won the 2024 Georgia House race?
Sanford D. Bishop, Jr. (D) won, by about 12.6 points (D+12.6).
When was the 2024 Georgia House election held?
It was held in November 2024.
Which party matches you?
These candidates split on taxes, health care, guns, and abortion. See where you land — and which members of Congress actually vote like you.