Democratic
Terri Pickens
Major-party general-election nominee.
← all governor races
Idaho governor election, 2026
Terri Pickens vs. Brad Little. Incumbent renominated.
VotePredictor forecast
Brad Little favored
Safe R · predicted margin R+21.9
99%
chance to win
Poll-driven model · 2 matched polls. Full forecast history and methodology →
Republican
Brad Little
Major-party general-election nominee.
Other listed candidates
- Pro-Life · Constitution
- Paul Sand · Libertarian
- John Stegner · Independent
Polls
| Pollster | Date | Margin |
|---|---|---|
| Advanced Targeting Research | 2026-09-16 | R+10.0 |
| Change Research | 2026-07-30 | R+21.0 |
Other forecasts
Cook
Solid R
as of Oct. 1, 2026
IE
Solid R
as of Oct. 1, 2026
Sabato
Safe R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
RCP
Solid R
as of Oct. 5, 2026
Fox
Solid R
as of Oct. 6, 2026
Silver
Solid R
as of Oct. 7, 2026
DDHQ
Safe R
as of Oct. 2, 2026
Published ratings are categorical, not probabilities, and remain independent of VotePredictor. Sources and update dates ↗
Past results
Every Idaho election for governor we hold a result for.
YearWinnerMargin
Candidate news
Idaho Democrats choose small business owner in uphill race against incumbent GOP governor
Idaho Gov. Brad Little will face Democrat Terri Pickens in the general election as he vies for a third term in a solidly Republican state this November.
Fox News · May 20, 2026
Repro Rights Roundup: Now Let's Have EVERY State Vote On Abortion
It's been one of the better weeks for abortion rights in quite some time now, with six — six! — states either voting to put the right to abortion in their constitutions or voting against banning abortion in their constitutions. It's almost as if people do not…
Wonkette.com · November 11, 2022
The race for Idaho lieutenant governor: Part 2
Democrat Terri Pickens Manweiler discusses her run for lieutenant governor, Idaho's strict anti-abortion law and education funding.
KTVB.com · October 2, 2022
Idaho Trumper misses paycheck after mismanagement left her office with only $0.72: report
Improper public records management has taken a personal financial toll on the controversial lieutenant governor of Idaho."Idaho Lt. Gov. Janice McGeachin deferred most of her June 24 paycheck to balance her office’s budget, leaving the budget with less than $…
Raw Story · July 2, 2022
An ugly radioactive surprise is buried deep inside Trump's deal for a loyal MAGA state
One of the most critical issues facing Idaho is one that has received little attention but has profound consequences for the future of our state – the agreement that would make Idaho the dumping ground for a third of the radioactive waste generated in our cou…
Raw Story · September 9, 2026
Idaho Builds Border Wall Out of Potatoes to Keep Out Californians
BOISE, ID — In a bold stand against the western invasion, Idaho Governor Brad Little announced today that the state had constructed a new border wall of potatoes to keep out Californians.
Babylonbee.com · July 16, 2026
Skeptical Science New Research for Week #29 2026
Open access notables Renewable energy discourses of fossil fuel companies: obstruction and delay of climate action, Desai et al., Energy Sustainability and Society For decades, multinational fossil fuel companies have strategically promoted discourses to ob…
Skepticalscience.com · July 16, 2026
Idaho law criminalizes trans people’s bathroom use. Advocates are mapping safe places to pee
A new Idaho law may outlaw transgender people's use of public restrooms, but advocates are mapping the private facilities where anyone can pee in peace. Trans Affirm just released an online "Idaho Inclusive Bathroom Map," which shows both the safe and non-inc…
Freerepublic.com · July 10, 2026