Democratic
JoAnna Mendoza
Major-party general-election nominee.
VotePredictor forecast
JoAnna Mendoza favored
Lean D · predicted margin D+3.0
67%
chance to win
2024 presidential lean
R+0.72026 national environment
D+5.5Model uncertainty
±6.9 pointsFundamentals model using district presidential lean, incumbency and the national environment. It is not a poll average.
Republican
Juan Ciscomani
Incumbent representative for AZ-6. Voting record, ideology and biography →
Other listed candidates
- Jereme Peters · Libertarian
Polls
No district-level 2026 general-election poll is currently in VotePredictor's verified polling feed for AZ-6. The forecast above therefore uses fundamentals only. A poll table will appear here when matched polls are available.
Other forecasts
We have not yet ingested a district rating from these independent forecasters for AZ-6; links go to their current national House ratings. Missing is shown as missing—not converted into a probability.
Candidate news
Secretary Rollins Visits Douglas Port of Entry, Announces $25 Million Commitment for New Arizona Sterile Fly Dispersal Facility
Secretary Highlights USDA’s Readiness Ahead of Douglas Port Reopening and Continued Aggressive Response to New World Screwworm (Washington, D.C., July 29, 2026) – Today, U.S. Secretary of Agriculture Brooke L. Rollins visited the livestock inspection faciliti…
Equinechronicle.com · July 30, 2026
Vulnerable Republican wins GOP primary in Arizona toss-up district Dems aim to flip blue
Rep. Juan Ciscomani will face Democrat JoAnna Mendoza in a toss-up Arizona House race that could determine which party controls Congress after midterms.
Fox News · July 22, 2026
Arizona Dem running for Congress backed legal prostitution to help for trans people
An Arizona Democrat running to unseat Rep. Juan Ciscomani in what is likely to be one of the most competitive races in the country, once said she supports decriminalizing prostitution in an effort to help transgender people.
New York Post · June 3, 2026
Early red flag for GOP? Democrats rack up massive Q1 fundraising hauls
The first-quarter campaign fundraising total for the 2026 midterms reveals that House and Senate Democratic candidates have picked up significant early momentum, potentially spelling trouble for Republicans as more primary elections approach.At least one Demo…
TheBlaze · April 16, 2026
Candidate field source: 2026 House election roster ↗